Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1529.432080 1750.525046 1999.029479 2300.308639 2657.374356 3069.117233 3582.820027
2025-08-10 1225.392002 1520.212423 1885.468619 2376.766072 3028.756050 3876.345529 5081.627134
2025-08-17 1059.422083 1383.776086 1811.797506 2428.808956 3313.745076 4566.171996 6526.937367
2025-08-24 937.062686 1274.471123 1742.575212 2456.284504 3547.810454 5207.912803 8034.317928
2025-08-31 841.942604 1184.358293 1679.823321 2472.333426 3754.060493 5832.188266 9651.402952
2025-09-07 774.499366 1122.718903 1645.984710 2520.326867 4009.548238 6574.334840 11649.428220
2025-09-14 690.594642 1025.052815 1542.913101 2439.081237 4031.164272 6913.519426 12984.626425
2025-09-21 621.628242 942.271211 1452.189079 2362.958404 4044.456429 7232.878563 14356.750372
2025-09-28 560.858251 865.979816 1362.792813 2275.500700 4019.993341 7470.548147 15614.379330
2025-10-05 539.058739 850.749255 1372.744409 2364.823735 4342.848660 8465.058879 18889.985638
2025-10-12 511.405018 822.663643 1356.952492 2403.372734 4570.229746 9305.582344 22074.410404
2025-10-19 487.039300 797.709941 1343.606521 2443.949148 4807.461688 10218.955326 25778.588072
2025-10-26 460.893193 768.193823 1320.615639 2466.044595 5017.632200 11140.718023 29948.325644
2025-11-02 444.700082 755.179750 1327.146205 2550.014245 5385.052577 12553.402606 36288.973942
2025-11-09 426.652623 736.903448 1321.331583 2606.545914 5698.790422 13912.905266 43156.894222
2025-11-16 407.272873 714.303951 1304.517411 2636.446994 5953.321629 15182.707339 50414.310788
2025-11-23 388.339178 690.870191 1283.539007 2653.910558 6179.888092 16439.264968 58381.215428
2025-11-30 374.321511 675.773687 1277.991567 2706.147420 6509.373060 18115.475888 69245.226383
2025-12-07 348.761107 635.776104 1216.652757 2617.728175 6436.421875 18475.065538 74342.763664
2025-12-14 325.892054 599.573997 1160.338435 2534.927868 6365.833695 18829.873104 79712.273660
2025-12-21 303.873958 563.632148 1101.720760 2439.852147 6244.416463 18981.053098 84192.746610
2025-12-28 298.785713 562.147280 1118.285764 2536.956310 6716.760765 21448.659882 103701.275400
2026-01-04 289.712943 551.627731 1113.728401 2578.881987 7029.286775 23431.870874 122353.578486